Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.009522 0.011346 0.013576 0.016555 0.020510 0.025707 0.033275
2025-05-11 0.007164 0.009246 0.012107 0.016498 0.023410 0.034580 0.055818
2025-05-18 0.005811 0.007869 0.010908 0.016017 0.025088 0.042293 0.083648
2025-05-25 0.004848 0.006778 0.009773 0.015144 0.025578 0.048076 0.114802
2025-06-01 0.004200 0.006024 0.008969 0.014544 0.026251 0.054668 0.159197
2025-06-08 0.003856 0.005680 0.008752 0.014918 0.029058 0.068650 0.264150
2025-06-15 0.003500 0.005258 0.008314 0.014728 0.030510 0.080401 0.409265
2025-06-22 0.003124 0.004752 0.007641 0.013884 0.029991 0.085478 0.547000
2025-06-29 0.002920 0.004518 0.007432 0.013992 0.032102 0.103106 0.991436
2025-07-06 0.002790 0.004396 0.007415 0.014529 0.035771 0.133566 2.480561
2025-07-13 0.002722 0.004378 0.007599 0.015601 0.041864 0.191365 13.958385
2025-07-20 0.002613 0.004268 0.007575 0.016142 0.046552 0.256652 350.351859
2025-07-27 0.002442 0.004043 0.007312 0.016094 0.049521 0.328719 NaN
2025-08-03 0.002288 0.003836 0.007064 0.016048 0.052747 0.431240 NaN
2025-08-10 0.002126 0.003595 0.006706 0.015585 0.053797 0.521080 NaN
2025-08-17 0.001959 0.003329 0.006258 0.014745 0.052440 0.567382 NaN
2025-08-24 0.001825 0.003121 0.005918 0.014166 0.052211 0.649813 NaN
2025-08-31 0.001757 0.003041 0.005872 0.014526 0.057746 1.001203 NaN
2025-09-07 0.001668 0.002907 0.005677 0.014343 0.059952 1.335848 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001554 0.002716 0.005321 0.013529 0.057426 1.390441 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001495 0.002635 0.005231 0.013633 0.061528 2.144305 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001459 0.002600 0.005252 0.014151 0.069559 4.536577 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001445 0.002613 0.005395 0.015184 0.083997 19.632167 NaN